Cascading failures usually begin when one part of the system fails!!

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Kurt Lykke Lindved Ph.D Culture and Development - UN Lecturer and Writer Honored Dutch Counsel Former CEO in EAC Entertainer and Event Management

Kurt Lykke Lindved Ph.D
Culture and Development – UN
Lecturer and Writer
Honored Dutch Counsel
Former CEO in EAC
Entertainer and Event Management

Israel has been more strident on the matter because it sees Iran as an existential threat – and because Iran has threatened to wipe it off the map.

It has unhelpfully unearthed a few video memories from the mid-1990s when US-led negotiators appeared confident they had managed to defuse the nuclear ambitions of another international pariah state, North Korea.

Israel says it reserves the right to use military force to prevent Iran from getting a nuclear bomb.

 

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That is a reminder that while the diplomats negotiating on behalf of the global powers may sincerely believe they have made the world a safer place, they may also be wrong about Iran, as the Clinton administration was about the North Koreans.

Iran’s enemies remain of the view that the Iranians are hell-bent on acquiring nuclear weapons at some point and have merely agreed to a delay in return for a variety of short-term concessions.

There is a danger now that Saudi Arabia will feel that a nuclear-capable Shia state must be matched by a nuclear capability in the hands of the Sunni states too.

That brings the nightmare of a nuclear arms race in the Middle East a step closer.

_84261075_ef3dfb4a-73d8-483b-8e11-61bea2b4472bSaudi Arabia has said it will seek the same rights as Iran, fuelling fears of a potential nuclear arms race.

And it leaves open the question of how Israel will respond. It already has a nuclear capability of its own, although its policy is never to acknowledge or discuss it.

Military option?

The Israelis have plenty of allies on Capitol Hill and they may now try to rally Congressional sceptics to undermine White House attempts to sell the deal in Washington.

That strategy does risk worsening the already sour relationship between Mr Obama and Mr Netanyahu, but the Israeli prime minister may calculate that that is a price worth paying.

And ultimately, of course, a deal which Israel considers to consolidate Iran’s status as a threshold nuclear power puts the issue of unilateral Israeli military action back on the table.

Sceptics fear Barack Obama was determined to reach a deal, even at a heavy cost.

 

_84261073_f6a763fd-cabc-4132-b679-23b70bfa059bWould Israel consider air strikes to degrade Iran’s nuclear infrastructure?

Israel could argue that its persistent threat to launch such an attack helped to create the pressure that led to the Vienna talks. The issue has been on the back burner in recent years as sanctions have been given time to work and the Vienna negotiations gathered momentum.

But one source familiar with Israeli intelligence thinking told us that Israel was still committed to the Begin Doctrine – the idea that a state pledged to the destruction of Israel could not be allowed to acquire the means of destruction.

The Obama administration will find the nuclear deal a tough sell to its allies in the Middle East like Saudi Arabia and Israel – even if it sugars the pill with upgraded weapons shipments.

But as the battle to get the deal past Congress begins, plenty of thought is being given across the Middle East to the difficulties and dangers that lie ahead.

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@KLL/-

 

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About lindvedpress

Professional – Career * Qualified as a Charter Agent in the East Asiatic Company - Became a State Authorized Shipping Broker in 1969 * Captain in The Sirius Patrol – Greenland at Thule Air Base, 1969-1971 * Postings in New York, New Orleans, Toronto, Rio de Janeiro, Lagos and London as Charter Agent and Manager 1972 – 1983 working for The East Asiatic Company Ltd. – Copenhagen * 24 years with The East Asiatic Company Ltd and subsidiary companies as Charter Agent, Marketing and Development Manager; and General Manager * Supplementary courses and examinations in Maritime and Commercial Law Management. * Founder and Owner of Sonata Production, Art and Music International Inc. – France & Denmark 1995 – present - Entertainment, Lectures, Concerts, Exhibition Events, CD, DVD and Video Recordings. Professional – Freelance * Qualified as trumpet player at Aarhus Music School – Denmark * Professional musician with several orchestras and bands – including the Matadors, Saratoga Jazz Band, Rice Wood Jokers and Aarhus Brass Band. * Leader of ”Show and Entertainment Group 28 Carat” and the Evening & Theatre School 28 Carat * Self-taught Artist (painter) Lecturer and Writer * Responsible for several large Theatre and Exhibition Events Worldwide Awards * Dutch Consul, Denmark * Goodwill Ambassador – Various Non-Profit Organizations
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